Jen Pawol made history as Major League Baseball’s first female home plate umpire in the 2025 season, sparking debate about whether she earned her spot, or was simply a political statement for inclusion and diversity. Now those debates are reignited based on some viral videos and statistics that prove her on-field performance is one of the worst during the 2026 season.
SPOILER: She’s been horrendous.
According to season-long data from UmpScorecards, who measures every called ball and strike against MLB’s Statcast strike zone, grading umpires on overall accuracy, consistency and how they perform relative to the expected difficulty of the pitches they call, Pawol currently ranks 89th out of 91 qualified MLB umpires in overall ball-and-strike accuracy. Yikes.
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She owns a 91.8% overall accuracy rate, a 93.1% consistency rating, and an accuracy-above-expected mark of -1.6%.
Her ranking has drawn additional attention because she has also been involved in several high-profile games that featured controversial strike-zone decisions.
Pawol had an abysmal start to her game behind the plate on Sunday, June 16, between the St. Louis Cardinals and Minnesota Twins. She had three ball calls overturned in the top of the first inning alone.
(WARNING: Language)
Pawol’s very first strike call, in her first MLB game behind the plate, was also terrible.
Here’s a challenge from a 2026 spring training game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians where the broadcaster not so subtly trolled Pawol saying, “The call is overturned on a pitch that was right down the middle of the plate that was called a ball.”
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The most recent controversy came between the San Diego Padres and Toronto Blue Jays on July 13, where she didn’t allow Padres’ Sung-Mun Song to challenge a called strike and shortly after, Pawol called a balk to force in a run for the Padres.
Her overall consistency in that game, as recorded by UmpScorecards, was only 88%. The average is 94%. I also found it odd that the other umpires seemed to be protecting Pawol from interacting with the managers. I get the impression that managers can barely argue with her on the field, or not at all because the other umps step in. Is it because she’s a woman? I can’t tell you that definitively, but it does raise eyebrows.
While Pawol has time to turn things around, it’s clear from a meritocracy standpoint, she hasn’t proven herself worthy of the position she’s in. The worst rated umpire, CB Bucknor, has accepted a buyout and is retiring at the end of season. As Zach Dean said in his piece, I don’t think it’s a coincidence.
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I couldn’t see Pawol being offered the same buyout scenario. It would reflect poorly on the league after making such a big deal about her promotion, with many people bending over backward to defend the decision, only for her to last a mere two seasons.
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